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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • Michael Wilson has run a route on 86.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The Arizona offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football (59.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a lowly 55.9 per game on average).
  • Michael Wilson has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (61.0 per game).
  • Michael Wilson's 8.4 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a material diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 9.5 rate.

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