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Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.Michael Wilson has run a route on 86.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.This year, the weak Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded a whopping 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-biggest rate in football.The Panthers safeties project as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cardinals are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 128.1 plays on offense called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.The Arizona Cardinals have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.6 per game) this year.
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