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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Michael Wilson has run a route on 86.7% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The Patriots pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Cardinals are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their downs: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cardinals are expected by the projections to call just 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a mere 55.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Patriots, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 32.5 per game) this year.

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