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Michael Thomas
NFL · Player Props
Michael Thomas
WR · New Orleans Saints
Receptions
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC
NFL Props Michael Thomas Receptions

Michael Thomas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -180.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Michael Thomas to earn 8.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Michael Thomas has been a more important option in his offense's passing attack this season (25.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.8%).
  • Michael Thomas has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Saints are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The Saints O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
More Michael Thomas Props Data by WriteNow™
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