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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-106/-122).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.

In this game, Michael Pittman is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.9 targets.

The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to be a more important option in his team's passing game in this week's contest (28.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (23.1% in games he has played).

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.9%) versus wideouts this year (68.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 48.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

Michael Pittman's play as a receiver has diminished this season, notching a mere 3.7 adjusted catches compared to 6.7 last season.

Michael Pittman's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 71.7% to 59.2%.

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