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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.4 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

Michael Pittman's 22.0% Target Rate this season indicates a meaningful regression in his air attack volume over last season's 31.6% figure.

Michael Pittman's pass-catching performance declined this year, totaling a measly 3.2 adjusted catches compared to 6.7 last year.

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