My Account Log Out

reorder

Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-169/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -169.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Colts being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to call the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a massive 61.0 per game on average).

The Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (37.0 per game) this year.

Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive approach to lean 1.7% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Colts to pass on 56.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™