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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Michael Pittman is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 12.1 targets.

Michael Pittman's 31.6% Target Rate this year reflects a material gain in his passing attack volume over last year's 26.4% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's collection of CBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

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