Michael Pittman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this game, Michael Pittman is forecasted by the model to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.2 targets.
Michael Pittman's 31.4% Target Share this season reflects an impressive progression in his pass game workload over last season's 26.4% rate.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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