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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Michael Pittman is forecasted by the model to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.2 targets.
  • Michael Pittman's 31.4% Target Share this season reflects an impressive progression in his pass game workload over last season's 26.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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