Michael Pittman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Michael Pittman to total 10.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
Michael Pittman's 69.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 60.9.
As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

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