My Account Log Out

reorder

Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+123/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to notch 8.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Shane Steichen, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.48 seconds per snap.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) to wideouts since the start of last season (63.5%).

More Michael Pittman Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™