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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-106/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
  • Michael Pittman has run a route on 96.9% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to earn 8.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
  • Michael Pittman's receiving performance has been refined this season, averaging 6.3 yards per game compared to just 5.1 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.5%) to wideouts this year (63.5%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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