Michael Pittman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+124/-161).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 97.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to accumulate 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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