My Account Log Out

reorder

Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Colts.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Pittman has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this season (22.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (31.6%).

Michael Pittman has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (72.0).

Michael Pittman's 56.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a substantial reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 71.7% rate.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.58 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™