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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the projections to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Michael Pittman to accumulate 7.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

The Dolphins pass defense has been torched for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.2%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (69.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (just 28.4 per game) this year.

Michael Pittman has been a less important option in his team's pass game this season (22.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (31.6%).

More Michael Pittman Player Props

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