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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Michael Pittman to accrue 9.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the feeble Titans pass defense has given up a whopping 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.0 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 24.0 per game) this year.
  • The Titans defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 97.0) to wideouts this year.
  • The Tennessee Titans linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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