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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
  • Michael Pittman has run a route on 97.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to accrue 8.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Michael Pittman has compiled a lot more receiving yards per game (85.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Michael Pittman has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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