Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 97.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to accrue 8.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
Michael Pittman has compiled a lot more receiving yards per game (85.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Michael Pittman has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.