Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.07 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to earn 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Michael Pittman has accrued far fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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