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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

Michael Pittman has notched quite a few less air yards this year (63.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Michael Pittman's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating just 7.08 yards-per-target vs a 8.64 mark last year.

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