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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-103/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Pittman has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Michael Pittman's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating just 7.55 yards-per-target compared to a 8.64 mark last season.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, conceding 7.83 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.

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