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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+177/-253).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -232 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -253.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (24.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.8% in games he has played).

Michael Pittman's 56.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for WRs.

Michael Pittman's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 70.4% to 74.6%.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (72.7%) vs. WRs this year (72.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Michael Pittman has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

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