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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Michael Pittman Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+147/-203).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +149 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +147.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.

Michael Pittman has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.1% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile among WRs.

Michael Pittman's 54.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 85th percentile for WRs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 10th-most TDs through the air in the league to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

Michael Pittman has compiled far fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.5%) to wideouts this year (63.5%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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