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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons

Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Las Vegas Raiders will be rolling with backup quarterback Desmond Ridder in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.6% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 7th-quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Raiders.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Mayer has run fewer routes this season (43.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (53.7%).

Michael Mayer's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 73.7% to 66.9%.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.7%) vs. tight ends this year (71.7%).

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