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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a big 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: most in football.

This year, the deficient Buccaneers pass defense has yielded a massive 81.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Michael Mayer's 39.4% Route% this year signifies a substantial diminishment in his pass attack utilization over last year's 53.7% rate.

Michael Mayer's 1.3 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 2.3 figure.

Michael Mayer's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 73.7% to 61.0%.

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