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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 63.0% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.89 seconds per snap.

Michael Mayer's 42.5% Route% this year marks an impressive diminishment in his pass attack workload over last year's 53.7% mark.

Michael Mayer's 1.2 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a noteworthy regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 2.3 mark.

Michael Mayer's 53.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows an impressive regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.7% rate.

The Broncos safeties profile as the 6th-best safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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