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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 66.8% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football has been the Raiders.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Michael Mayer has been one of the most efficient receivers in football among TEs, averaging a stellar 7.90 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Michael Mayer comes in as one of the top tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Raiders being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have just 125.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Raiders have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.

The Panthers defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 42.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.

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