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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders will be rolling with backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to pass on 62.6% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Mayer has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).

Michael Mayer's 65.0% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects an impressive decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.7% figure.

Michael Mayer's pass-game efficiency has declined this season, averaging a measly 5.32 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.45 mark last season.

Michael Mayer's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, compiling just 2.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.07 figure last season.

More Michael Mayer Player Props

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