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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a big 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: most in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (66.0) to TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Michael Mayer's 39.4% Route% this year signifies a substantial diminishment in his pass attack utilization over last year's 53.7% rate.
  • After averaging 17.0 air yards per game last season, Michael Mayer has significantly declined this season, now pacing 9.0 per game.
  • Michael Mayer has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (8.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).
  • Michael Mayer's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 73.7% to 61.0%.

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