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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 63.0% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in football.

With a fantastic 5.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Mayer stands as one of the top tight ends in the pass game in the NFL in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.89 seconds per snap.

Michael Mayer's 42.5% Route% this year marks an impressive diminishment in his pass attack workload over last year's 53.7% mark.

Michael Mayer has posted far fewer air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (17.0 per game).

Michael Mayer's 7.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows a meaningful decline in his receiving ability over last year's 26.0 rate.

Michael Mayer's 53.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows an impressive regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.7% rate.

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