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Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-135).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 8th-most in the NFL.Michael Mayer has been on the field for 59.4% of his team's snaps last year, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.The Raiders offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Right now, the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in the league (57.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are projected by the model to call only 61.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league last year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game.Last year, the tough Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing TEs: a mere 4.5 YAC.As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been exceptional last year, profiling as the 6th-best in the NFL.
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