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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (41.1 per game) this year.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.

Michael Gallup has been less involved as a potential target this year (74.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (86.0%).

Michael Gallup has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing just 54.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among wide receivers

This year, the formidable Eagles defense has given up a paltry 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.

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