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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-182).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -182.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 66.4 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

Michael Gallup has run a route on 86.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.

Michael Gallup has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, hauling in a measly 60.3% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among wideouts

The New York Giants cornerbacks rank as the 5th-best group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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