Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Michael Gallup grades out in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts this year with a whopping 25.5% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
Michael Gallup's 4.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a noteworthy progression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.0% rate.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
With a weak 53.8% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Michael Gallup rates among the most hard-handed receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
With a subpar 6.5 adjusted yards per target (20th percentile) this year, Michael Gallup stands as one of the bottom WRs in the game in football.
The Rams pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (54.5%) to wideouts this year (54.5%).