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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
  • Michael Gallup's 57.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 54.2% figure.
  • Michael Gallup's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this year marks a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 6.5 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.9 per game) this year.
  • Michael Gallup has put up quite a few less air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).
  • Michael Gallup's 32.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 40.8.

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