Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-117/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Michael Gallup has run a route on 84.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
Michael Gallup has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (58.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
Michael Gallup has accumulated significantly fewer receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

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