Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.7 plays per game.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 8.99 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the league.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Michael Gallup has notched quite a few less air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
Michael Gallup has compiled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

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