Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+114/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Gallup to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has allowed their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.8% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Michael Gallup has put up far fewer air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
Michael Gallup has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

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