Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Gallup to accumulate 6.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
Michael Gallup's 47.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 76th percentile for WRs.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
Michael Gallup has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
Michael Gallup has accrued significantly fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

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