Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Gallup to accumulate 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among WRs.
Michael Gallup has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 18.2% this year, which puts him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.2% pass rate.
Michael Gallup has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (57.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
Michael Gallup has notched significantly fewer receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).
Michael Gallup's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 60.3% to 55.4%.
Michael Gallup's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching a measly 6.16 yards-per-target compared to a 7.80 rate last year.

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