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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Michael Gallup's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 79th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.2%) versus wide receivers this year (69.2%).
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.03 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
  • Michael Gallup has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (56.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).

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