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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

Michael Gallup Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+307/-553).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -553.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Michael Gallup has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

Michael Gallup has notched a colossal 82.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Dallas Cowboys have incorporated play action on a measly 23.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

More Michael Gallup Player Props

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