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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Gallup Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+196/-301).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +243 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +196.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Michael Gallup to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (16.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).

Michael Gallup's 47.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 76th percentile for WRs.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.

Michael Gallup has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).

Michael Gallup has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching a mere 58.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 9th percentile among wide receivers

The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 2nd-least passing TDs in the league to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.

More Michael Gallup Player Props

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