Michael Gallup Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-380).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New York Giants linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has afforded their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Giants pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
Michael Gallup has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
Michael Gallup has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 57.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 12th percentile among wideouts
The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.3%) versus wideouts this year (61.3%).

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