My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+262/-435).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +266 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +262.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Michael Gallup has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Michael Gallup's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 79th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.2%) versus wide receivers this year (69.2%).
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
  • Michael Gallup has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (56.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).
  • Michael Gallup's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 60.3% to 53.9%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™