Michael Carter Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Carter has garnered 50.2% of his team's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Michael Carter has been among the leading RBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.36 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 87th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.29 yards-per-carry.