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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Michael Carter Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+398/-847).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +415 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +398.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 45.5% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.

Michael Carter has rushed for 0.33 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (79th percentile).

The Denver Broncos defensive ends rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack near the goal line this week (16.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (38.1% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least TDs in the NFL (0.50 per game) against the Denver Broncos defense this year.

More Michael Carter Player Props

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