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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

Michael Carter has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.0% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

Michael Carter's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 70.7% to 89.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Michael Carter has accumulated a puny -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among RBs.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Michael Carter's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, compiling just 5.31 yards-per-target vs a 6.25 rate last year.

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