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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be starting backup QB Joe Flacco in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to earn 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% pass rate.
  • Michael Carter has put up a paltry 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 22nd percentile among RBs.
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Michael Carter's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a measly 5.18 yards-per-target compared to a 6.26 rate last season.
  • Michael Carter's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, notching a measly 7.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.78 rate last year.

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