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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-102/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to garner 3.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
  • Michael Carter has been among the leading pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 23.0 yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Michael Carter's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, notching a measly 4.87 yards-per-target compared to a 6.26 rate last year.
  • Michael Carter's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, averaging a measly 1.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.78 mark last year.

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