Michael Carter Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-102/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to garner 3.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Michael Carter has been among the leading pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 23.0 yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Michael Carter's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, notching a measly 4.87 yards-per-target compared to a 6.26 rate last year.
Michael Carter's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, averaging a measly 1.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.78 mark last year.

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