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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions

Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to accumulate 3.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 10.1% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Michael Carter's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, compiling a measly 7.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.78 rate last season.

The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 25.0) vs. running backs this year.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the NFL.

The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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