Michael Carter Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Michael Carter

NFL · Player Props

Michael Carter

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to accumulate 3.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
Michael Carter has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 10.1% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Michael Carter's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, compiling a measly 7.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.78 rate last season.
The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 25.0) vs. running backs this year.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the NFL.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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